Tropical Storm Edouard is hours from landfall near the Texas-Louisiana line, and the flooding threat is shifting into East Texas tonight and Wednesday. Most of the state won’t see a thing from it. It’s your Texas Weather Roundup for Tuesday, September 1, 2026.
WHERE EDOUARD IS
Edouard is moving northwest this morning, hours from landfall somewhere between Port Arthur and Cameron, Louisiana. It has stayed on the eastern edge of guidance — a sooner landfall, less time over water.
For Houston, that means sprinkles at most. The system stayed off to your east.
Maximum sustained winds are around 50 mph and climbing. Radar and Hurricane Hunter data suggest 60 to 65 mph before landfall early this afternoon, with a possible run at 70 to 75. Those strongest winds stay over the Gulf or embedded in heavier storms — most folks won’t see them.
THE TRACK AFTER LANDFALL
Edouard keeps moving northwest, probably passing directly over Beaumont around dinnertime while weakening. By tomorrow morning it should be near Crockett in East Texas, still moving northwest around 9 mph. Areas near the center are most at risk for heavy rain overnight.
RAIN TOTALS — 5 TO 10 INCHES ALONG THE TRACK
This is a very small, compact system, so the heaviest rain stays confined near the center. A swath of 5 to 10 inches is expected along the track, starting near Beaumont and Port Arthur tonight, then moving northwest toward Corrigan, Crockett, Lufkin, Palestine, Athens and even up toward Terrell over the next 40 hours.
The exact corridor is still to be determined and may only be a few counties wide. Where it goes, expect flash flooding, street flooding and rises on creeks and streams. Some river flooding could continue into the weekend.
This behaves like the warm-core systems we saw in July, where the heaviest rain gets even more localized near the center overnight — 5 to 10 inches in six hours is possible in spots.
To be clear: this is not an issue for the Hill Country in any way, shape or form.
WHO ISN’T AFFECTED
Houston, Galveston and College Station will be lucky to get typical summer afternoon pop-up thunderstorms. Anything west of there sees nothing at all. Most of the state won’t see a stinking thing from this.
The Weather Prediction Center is highlighting localized to scattered flash flooding today, tonight and Wednesday.
FIRE DANGER CONTINUES
We’re not done with fire danger just because there’s a tropical storm. High to Very High across most of the state today. Wednesday, Moderate to High continues anywhere not getting moisture from Edouard.
Thursday returns to High to Very High statewide, except the Big Bend and Borderland with monsoonal moisture, and wherever Edouard’s rain fell.
THE PATTERN
The heat dome is centered a bit off to our east and northeast right now, which is exactly what’s allowing weak southwesterly flow aloft to steer Edouard into Texas.
Beyond that, the heat dome remains our primary pattern all week with the jet stream well to our west and northwest — no well-organized storm chances.
Residual tropical moisture may allow isolated to widely scattered afternoon and evening storms across more of Texas Thursday and Friday.
There’s a hint of a possible pattern change toward mid-month. Nothing screams it yet. Mostly hot, mostly dry.
TEMPERATURES
80s from Galveston to Beaumont today thanks to the landfalling system. The rest of the state runs 90s to low triple digits. Nothing like the 105 to 110 we had ten days ago, but seasonably warm for September 1.
Tonight, lows mostly in the 70s, 80s in the urban heat islands of the Texas Triangle, upper 60s to low 70s in the Davis Mountains, West Texas and the Panhandle.
Wednesday, upper 80s to near 90 in the Brazos Valley, Southeast Texas and the Golden Triangle under Edouard’s clouds and rain. Thursday, 90s from DFW to Waco, Bryan-College Station and Houston to Beaumont, with triple digits holding in the western half and South Texas.
Coastal flooding continues in Louisiana and perhaps the Golden Triangle and upper Texas coast through this evening with onshore winds.
Additional updates throughout the day.
CHAPTERS
0:00 Edouard Hours From Landfall
1:27 Live Radar: Where Edouard Is Now
2:35 The Track After Landfall
3:07 Where the Heaviest Rain Falls
4:55 Rain Totals: 5-10 Inches Along the Track
6:48 Fire Danger Continues Statewide
7:23 The Pattern & a Mid-Month Hint
8:54 Temperatures This Week
10:02 What We’re Watching Next
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