Edouard is gone but the moisture isn’t, so we’ve got pop-up storm chances heading into Labor Day weekend. And after three weeks of extreme fire danger, Sunday has just 5% of Texas in High. It’s your Texas Weather Roundup for Friday, September 4, 2026.
WHERE THINGS STAND
It’s been an active week. A week ago we weren’t expecting any of it, but when tropical mischief gets going near the coast things change in a hurry. Good news: doesn’t look like we’re doing that again next week.
Right now there’s light rain across southwestern North Texas and the eastern Hill Country. Pop-up storms are already developing across Southeast Texas, the west side of Houston, and east toward the Golden Triangle — cloud-to-ground lightning, gusty winds, locally heavy rain.
THIS AFTERNOON & TONIGHT
Expect an uptick across Central Texas, the Hill Country and Southeast Texas. Guidance is pretty ambitious with Hill Country storms — we’ll see if that verifies. Monsoonal activity continues in West Texas.
Most folks settle down tonight, but the HRRR shows an overnight uptick across the northern Edwards Plateau and Hill Country that wasn’t explicitly forecast. Locally heavy rain is possible and we can’t rule out isolated flooding.
To be clear: not one of those 20-inch rain events. But a few inches is possible where storms park.
FLASH FLOOD OUTLOOK
Today and tonight, isolated flooding is possible in the Borderland from the monsoon. Farther east: the Concho Valley, Edwards Plateau, Hill Country, Central and South Central Texas, Southeast Texas, the Brazos Valley, Coastal Plains and Golden Triangle all carry isolated heavy rain potential from lingering tropical moisture.
Saturday gets less active. Scattered storms near the coast, with the flooding risk confined from the Coastal Bend near Corpus Christi and Port Aransas, northeast through the Crossroads around Victoria, into Southeast Texas, the Piney Woods and the Golden Triangle.
FIRE DANGER IS FINALLY IMPROVING
Today is less active across Central Texas, Southeast Texas and far West Texas thanks to the moisture. Everywhere that hasn’t seen rain stays Moderate to High.
Saturday looks better statewide at Low to Moderate. And Sunday: just 5% of Texas in High fire danger, everyone else Low to Moderate. A whole lot nicer than a week ago, and two weeks ago.
THE PATTERN
The heat dome is close by but not sitting directly over the southern half of Texas — which is exactly why we still have pop-up storm chances today and, to a lesser extent, this weekend.
First half of next week looks less active. The heat continues, no shift there. Toward the second half the dome may intensify, especially to our north and northwest. Stays hot, but we may keep afternoon sea breeze storms near the coast.
RAIN & DROUGHT
Extended guidance keeps daily isolated to widely scattered storms near the coast and in South Texas, plus monsoonal activity in the Big Bend and far West Texas. For the northern half, it doesn’t look good for substantial rain over the next five to seven days.
Through 7 AM Wednesday, most rain falls today, tonight and tomorrow — nothing for most folks, or just enough to wet the ground. No drought relief on the horizon.
That said, Southeast Texas and southeastern North Texas got plenty. Next week’s Drought Monitor will be interesting — some of y’all got way too much rain, but at least your drought’s over for now.
LABOR DAY WEEKEND TEMPERATURES
A mixed bag today. 90s in the Hill Country, Central Texas, North Texas, the Brazos Valley and Southeast Texas. Everyone else outside far West Texas is in the triple digits.
Tonight, mostly 70s with a few 60s in West Texas, the Panhandle and the Davis Mountains.
Saturday, 90s to low triple digits. Sunday warms back up where clouds and rain kept things down — mid to upper 90s to low triple digits. Alpine hits 89.
Monday morning: 66 in Alpine, 68 in Plainview, 66 in Dalhart. Higher terrain shows its benefits overnight. Everyone else mostly 70s, with low 80s returning to DFW and the urban heat islands.
Labor Day runs mostly 90s to triple digits. Tuesday, a whole lot of heat — nothing is changing this week. Statistically we’re past the worst of summer, but it stays hot for the foreseeable future.
CHAPTERS
0:00 Edouard’s Gone, the Moisture Isn’t
1:00 Where the Rain Is Now
1:29 This Afternoon & Tonight
2:40 Flash Flood Outlook
3:39 Fire Danger Finally Improving
4:17 The Pattern Through Labor Day
5:16 Rain Outlook & Drought
6:15 Labor Day Weekend Temperatures
8:10 Member Shoutouts
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🌩️ LIVE RADAR:
https://texasstormchasers.com/radar
📲 FREE Weather App:
https://texasweather.app/
🔗 Website, tornado alert phone calls, photo gallery & socials:
https://www.Linktr.ee/texasstormchasers
⭐ Join this channel for perks:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCoIfgmxArIATc2EpHD3W9EA/join
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Texas Storm Chasers has been covering Texas weather since 2009.
#TexasWeather #txwx #LaborDayWeekend #ctxwx #TexasHeat