The Texas winter outlook for 2026–27 in under a minute, from Meteorologist Trey Greenwood of Convective Chronicles.
Rain: above-average precipitation for much of the state, with the best odds across central and eastern Texas, especially early on through the fall and maybe the very start of winter.
Temperatures: cooler than normal across pretty much all of Texas. Near normal for a good portion of the fall, then trending cooler with time.
Snow: generally above-average snowfall, particularly for the northern half of Texas, with the best chances from December to February.
Severe weather: a near-average amount of tornado activity this fall and winter, focused on the eastern half of Texas, with sporadic activity out west. The dots on the map are past tornadoes from 13 El Niño winters, not a forecast.
Want the full Super El Niño breakdown? Tap the related video on this Short.
Data: NOAA CPC Nov–Jan precipitation outlook (issued Oct 15, 2026), NOAA NMME forecast (October 2026 run), past tornadoes in 13 El Niño winters (NOAA SPC).
Get your local forecast and radar in the free Texas Storm Chasers app: texasweather.app
#TexasWeather #txwx #TexasWinter #ElNino
Rain: above-average precipitation for much of the state, with the best odds across central and eastern Texas, especially early on through the fall and maybe the very start of winter.
Temperatures: cooler than normal across pretty much all of Texas. Near normal for a good portion of the fall, then trending cooler with time.
Snow: generally above-average snowfall, particularly for the northern half of Texas, with the best chances from December to February.
Severe weather: a near-average amount of tornado activity this fall and winter, focused on the eastern half of Texas, with sporadic activity out west. The dots on the map are past tornadoes from 13 El Niño winters, not a forecast.
Want the full Super El Niño breakdown? Tap the related video on this Short.
Data: NOAA CPC Nov–Jan precipitation outlook (issued Oct 15, 2026), NOAA NMME forecast (October 2026 run), past tornadoes in 13 El Niño winters (NOAA SPC).
Get your local forecast and radar in the free Texas Storm Chasers app: texasweather.app
#TexasWeather #txwx #TexasWinter #ElNino