One round of thunderstorms has moved across Texas overnight into this morning, and more storms are expected to develop in the western portions of Texas this afternoon. Like yesterday, isolated to scattered severe storms are possible after 3 PM around Fort Stockton, stretching north into the Permian Basin and West Texas. We’ll have live storm chasing video posted within our mobile app and blog this afternoon.
The storms will slowly move eastward, with some shifting southeast and others turning northeast. Very large hail and localized damaging wind gusts will be the primary hazards associated with the most intense storms. Frequent lightning and heavy rains are also likely.
Click the ?/image for a full animation. Simulated weather radar this afternoon through Thursday night. Isolated to scattered storms will develop near Fort Stockton, north into West Texas after 3 PM. Like last night, they’ll move east – though not as widespread as yesterday.
Heading into tonight, I hope we won’t see as large of a cluster of storms as we did this morning; however, at least one cluster will probably form over portions of Northwest Texas, Big Country, Concho Valley, and/or the Edwards Plateau. The outcome depends on where thunderstorms develop this afternoon and evening.
Thursday and Thursday Night
Looking ahead to Thursday afternoon and evening, we could experience a repeat of the previous day and night, with storms forming from the Texas Panhandle and extending south through West Texas and the Permian Basin. These storms may grow upscale into a squall line that moves east into Friday morning, and some of them could be severe.
Thunderstorm chances are expected to continue into Friday and Saturday, particularly across the Texas Panhandle, the Texas/New Mexico state line, and potentially farther east into Northwest Texas and Texoma.
Currently, we won’t have any significant upper-level storm systems or sources of lift over the next several days. Therefore, we will have to monitor for smaller-scale features that may trigger thunderstorms. A more obvious source of upper-level lift is anticipated to arrive on Monday and Tuesday, likely increasing thunderstorm chances for the northern third of Texas early next week.
You can track the storms with our free interactive weather radar, or by watching our Texas Weather Center live stream.