Scattered thunderstorms are expected to cause disturbances in the Texas Panhandle overnight and into the morning hours on Sunday. Shortly before 9:30 PM, a supercell thunderstorm was located 35 miles west of Dalhart, approximately 6 miles west of the Texas/New Mexico state line. This storm is producing damaging hail over two inches in diameter along with strong winds. It is moving southeast at 25 miles per hour and will reach northwestern Hartley County by 9:45-10 PM.
Simulated weather radar from the HRRR model shows thunderstorms developing late Saturday evening in the Texas Panhandle. Storms may become severe with damaging winds, large hail, and brief tornadoes as they move southeast overnight.
Short-range, high-resolution weather models suggest an increase in thunderstorms across southwestern Kansas and the Oklahoma Panhandle over the next several hours. This activity is expected to move southeast, resulting in a cluster of strong to severe storms early Sunday morning. Eventually, storms may approach western Oklahoma and Northwest Texas after 5-6 AM on Sunday.
The most intense storms overnight could produce very large hail and damaging straight-line winds. Hurricane-force wind gusts cannot be ruled out from the most severe activity. While the overall tornado risk is very low, it is not entirely absent. Additionally, heavy rain may lead to localized flooding; however, with storms moving at a decent pace, rainfall rates should remain manageable.
You can keep tabs on the storms overnight with our free interactive weather radar here on our website. If you’re using our free mobile app, you can click the ‘more’ tab and select zoom radar.