It may be October, but it still feels a lot more like August across the Lone Star State. Afternoon highs in the 90s will continue into the weekend, with most Texans staying hot, dry, and rain-free.
Weekend Rain Chances
The best chance for showers and a few pop-up thunderstorms will be along the Texas Gulf Coast. South Central Texas, the Rio Grande Valley, the Coastal Bend, and Southeast Texas may see some activity Friday and Saturday afternoons. Corpus Christi and the immediate coastal areas have the highest odds of catching a quick downpour. A few showers may also drift into the Golden Triangle and Piney Woods, but most inland areas will remain dry.
Looking ahead to Sunday and Monday, isolated afternoon storms may begin returning to the Texas Panhandle as a weak disturbance brushes the region. Otherwise, the majority of Texas will stay under mostly sunny skies.
Wildfire Danger Increasing
While the weather may not feel extreme, the persistent heat and lack of widespread rainfall are causing fire concerns. The Texas A&M Forest Service highlights moderate to high wildfire danger across East Texas, the Piney Woods, the Brazos Valley, Southeast Texas, and into South Central Texas. Fast-moving grass fires will remain a concern through the weekend.
Watching the Tropics
The Atlantic basin remains active, but there are no threats to Texas at this time. One system is moving west toward the Lesser Antilles with a medium chance of development, while another disturbance near Florida is producing heavy rain. Neither is expected to impact the Gulf of Mexico.
Next Week’s Outlook
The upper-level heat dome remains the dominant weather player over Texas, deflecting cold fronts and keeping most rain chances away. Isolated storms may stick around the Panhandle into early next week, while coastal showers linger near the Gulf. Otherwise, the state is looking at another stretch of warm, dry weather.
High temperatures will remain in the 90s statewide, with South Texas flirting with triple digits at times. Overnight lows remain more comfortable, but above-average heat continues as we head into the first full week of October.
Stay Weather Aware
Texas Storm Chasers will continue to track rain chances and long-range patterns as we move deeper into October. For now, expect hot afternoons, mostly dry skies, and continued wildfire concerns.
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