Rain for Far West Texas, Fire Danger for the Rest
As we head into the weekend, a big divide sets up across Texas: flooding potential in the west and fire danger in the east. In today’s Texas Weather Roundup, Baldy-in-Chief David Reimer explains how leftover tropical moisture and a stubborn heat dome are combining to make a mess on both ends of the spectrum.
Moisture from a remnant Pacific hurricane will stream into Arizona, New Mexico, and Far West Texas, bringing widespread rain Saturday into Sunday. The El Paso region, Van Horn, and the Guadalupe Mountains could see 1–2 inches of rain, with isolated higher totals capable of producing flooding.
Fire Weather: Still a Serious Threat
For everyone else, it’s another warm, dry, and dangerous fire-weather setup.
The Texas A&M Forest Service forecasts very high to locally extreme fire danger today across Southeast Texas, the Golden Triangle, East Texas, and parts of the Coastal Plains.
By Sunday, the threat spreads over the eastern two-thirds of the state, where gusty winds and dry vegetation could make new fires difficult to contain.
Weekend Forecast and Rain Outlook
Aside from the far western counties, most of Texas will see sunshine and mid-90s through Sunday. The Panhandle and West Texas might pick up a few showers early next week, but rainfall totals outside of Far West Texas will stay under a tenth of an inch.
Expected rainfall through Wednesday:
El Paso / Guadalupe Mountains: 1–2 inches, locally higher
Western Panhandle: 0.10–0.25 inch
Central & East Texas: Trace amounts to none
Temperatures Stay Hot into Mid-Month
Highs today and Saturday remain in the upper 80s and 90s, with cooler 70s only in the higher terrain of Far West Texas.
Sunday will see a brief cooldown in El Paso and the borderland, while the rest of the state continues to roast.
Looking ahead, the Climate Prediction Center keeps Texas warmer and drier than average through mid-October, meaning drought and wildfire risks will continue to worsen.
Wrap-Up
Expect flooding potential in Far West Texas, rising fire danger elsewhere, and no real sign of relief for most of the state.
Stay weather-aware, avoid outdoor burning, and check your Texas Storm Chasers mobile app for live radar and local forecasts.