Texas Weather Roundup: Summer Heat Takes Over, Fire Danger Increasing This Weekend

Written on 03/20/2026
David Reimer

Texas is heating up fast as spring begins, with widespread 90s and near 100° temperatures expected this weekend. Dry conditions, gusty winds, and low humidity will also bring very high to extreme fire danger across the state, with little to no rain in sight.

Spring may officially be here, but across Texas, the weather is acting more like the middle of summer.

Instead of mild conditions, much of the state is heading into a stretch of hot, dry weather with increasing wildfire risk through the weekend and into next week.


🎥 Full Forecast Video


🌡️ Hot and Dry Pattern Locked In

There is no rain expected across Texas over the next week.

The overall setup remains unchanged:

  • Dry conditions statewide

  • Southerly winds through Saturday

  • A cold front arriving Sunday into Monday

This front will not bring rain — it will mainly shift winds and slightly lower temperatures for part of the state.


🔥 Fire Danger Increasing Statewide

The biggest concern heading into the weekend is fire danger.

According to the Texas A&M Forest Service:

  • Friday: Moderate to high fire danger

  • Saturday & Sunday: Very high to extreme fire danger

This is driven by:

  • Temperatures in the 90s to near 100°

  • Low humidity

  • Gusty winds up to 20–25 mph

  • Dry vegetation following recent cold temperatures

Energy release levels are expected to be well above normal, meaning vegetation will burn easily and fires could spread quickly.

👉 Avoid outdoor burning and use extreme caution with anything that could create sparks.


🌡️ Temperatures Climbing Into the 90s and 100s

Friday

  • Near 100° in Childress

  • Upper 90s across West Texas

  • Low 90s in Central Texas (Austin, San Antonio, DFW)

  • Cooler near the coast (70s–80s)

Saturday (Peak Heat)

  • Around 102° in Childress

  • Upper 90s across West Texas and the Panhandle

  • Mid 90s Central Texas

  • Around 90° East Texas

Sunday

  • Cold front begins moving south

  • Still mid to upper 90s for many areas

  • Near 100° possible in South and West Texas


🌬️ Cold Front Early Next Week

By Monday:

  • North Texas: Cooler, highs in the 70s

  • Central Texas: Slightly cooler, still warm

  • South Texas: Heat continues

This front is weak and will not push far south, limiting its impact.


🔁 Heat Returns Quickly

The cooldown will be short-lived.

By Tuesday:

  • Temperatures climb back into the upper 80s and 90s statewide


🚫 No Rain, Limited Relief

Rain chances remain very low.

There is a small signal for possible precipitation in southern or southwestern Texas later on, but confidence is low.

For now:

  • No meaningful rain expected over the next 7 days

  • Dry conditions continue

  • Fire danger remains elevated


⚠️ Bottom Line

  • Summer-like heat has arrived early in Texas

  • Temperatures will reach the 90s and near 100° this weekend

  • Fire danger will become very high to extreme

  • A weak cold front brings only minor relief

  • No meaningful rain is expected